[quote name=\'dale_grass\' post=\'178765\' date=\'Feb 24 2008, 05:46 PM\'][quote name=\'Matt Ottinger\' post=\'178719\' date=\'Feb 24 2008, 03:00 PM\']Interesting that you would call DoND "by far the easiest" when it's just about the only significant show with a million dollar prize that HASN'T been given away. It's certainly the easiest show to play, and whoever eventually wins the million will arguably have done the least to earn it, but as I said earlier in this very thread, the fact that they're loading the board with million dollar cases and STILL can't give the grand prize away ought to show you just how HARD it is to win a million on the show. [/quote]
There's a slight flaw in your logic. [/quote]
Really, now?
[quote name=\'dale_grass\' post=\'178765\' date=\'Feb 24 2008, 05:46 PM\']For example, PowerBall. Sometimes the jackpot gets up to $300 million, sometimes someone wins it at $20 million. The game's the exact same. It's just a matter of luck. Joe Schmoe from Left Bear Nut, Arkansas, has a 1/26 chance of picking the million dollar case. It's that simple. I don't have the stats in front of me, but hasn't someone already picked the million dollar case, only to have switched? People are persuaded from the million with bank offers, but at the end of the day the game boils down to simple chance. [/quote]
For the record, several people have had the million dollar case in their possession without switching. And none of those players won a million dollars.
I'll try again. Everybody understands that the game is luck. Therefore the game is "easy" to play. Eventually someone will win a million, and that person will not have had to work very hard to win it. That person will have been lucky.
Yes, there is a 1 in 26 chance of picking the million dollar case. However, that is not the same as having a 1 in 26 chance of winning a million dollars. Not even remotely close. That's one of several flaws in your logic. The question was not which game is the easiest to play. The question was which game is the easiest to win a million dollars playing. Most of us agreed a while ago that under the original structure, Deal or No Deal would be one of the most difficult games to win a million on, because so many things would have to go your way and you'd still be left with a pricey gamble. Now that they're adding cases in order to virtually guarantee a million dollar win, they're still having a hard time doing it.
I'll grant that a DoND game with 13 million dollar cases represents just about the easiest possible way to win a million. But you're indicating that the basic game is "by far the easiest", and that just ain't so.