[quote name=\'TLEberle\' post=\'187139\' date=\'May 31 2008, 02:26 AM\']
[quote name=\'JRaygor\' post=\'187101\' date=\'May 30 2008, 12:07 PM\']The UK version very much acts like the fate of humanity rests with what is in the contestant's box. The wrong move will bring harsh condemnation from the host. ("You've blown the opportunity at thousands and made a cowardly horrible deal" Yes, I've really heard that.)[/quote]Similarly, one of the things I dislike about Deal From Noel's Basement is that they go on about fate, and Cosmic Ordering, and what have you, and it's all picking numbers. I suppose if they want to go on about superstition, that's their dime, but when they propagate the Gambler's Fallacy, it really boils my meat.
Conversely, I like it when Andrew runs down the possibilities of continuing to play. ("If you leave the $100,000 AND the $50,000 on the board, the offer should approach $25,000. Leave one and the offer goes to $20,000. Remove both and you're playing for bus fare and a Megaguess.") He treats the game as what it is: an exercise in playing of odds, and pure luck.
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But we also have to remember that the Aussie offers are close to the average, so Andrew can probably do the math in his head, whereas, Noel can't do it because the offers on the UK have a lot more variables in play (past offers, how the contestant compose themself), and they take 3 amounts off the board in each round. Also, the offers are rarely near the mean. So the odds are there, but the offers, well that is one way we play along at home (trying to predict the offers).
