TPiR Season Premiere

[Steve Gavazzi]

[quote name=\'Matt Ottinger\' post=\'247471\' date=\'Sep 13 2010, 11:28 PM\'][quote name=\'Steve Gavazzi\' post=\'247462\' date=\'Sep 13 2010, 10:09 PM\']I don't think it really averages around anywhere, although this season, it was 2nd or 9th an inordinate amount of the time.[/quote]Well, it has to average somewhere.  The average may or may not be a useful statistic, but it's an easily ascertainable number.

/See sig.[/quote]
Okay, lemme rephrase that:  I don't think they aim for a particular average.

(Honestly, I could go to Scorpz's site and figure it out in probably less than 10 minutes, but I'm feeling lazy tonight.)

[clemon79]

[quote name=\'Adam Nedeff\' post=\'247452\' date=\'Sep 13 2010, 06:09 PM\'][quote name=\'mcsittel\' post=\'247451\' date=\'Sep 13 2010, 08:04 PM\']That was a season premiere?  Sure didn't feel like it.[/quote]
Good, because it was a rerun.[/quote]
I lol'd.

[TLEberle]

[quote name=\'Matt Ottinger\' post=\'247471\' date=\'Sep 13 2010, 08:28 PM\']Well, it has to average somewhere.  The average may or may not be a useful statistic, but it's an easily ascertainable number.[/quote]My cocktail-napkin guess is that That's Too Much has a bimodal distribution where the correct answer will be the second or ninth revealed price.

[mcsittel]

[quote name=\'clemon79\' post=\'247484\' date=\'Sep 13 2010, 11:54 PM\'][quote name=\'Adam Nedeff\' post=\'247452\' date=\'Sep 13 2010, 06:09 PM\'][quote name=\'mcsittel\' post=\'247451\' date=\'Sep 13 2010, 08:04 PM\']That was a season premiere?  Sure didn't feel like it.[/quote]
Good, because it was a rerun.[/quote]
I lol'd.
[/quote]

Ahhh... my DVR said it was a new episode.  Thanks for the correction.  I'll DVR next Monday-I appreciate the information!  

Just wondering, bimodal or not,  on "That's Too Much" if knowledge of the distribution would lead to any better chance of winning, since it sure appears that P(winning value) is not equal across all prices.  Also wondering if the jump between consecutive prices is any help either.

[jmangin]

That's Too Much stats:

Season 36
(win/loss)
Price 2 - 0/0
Price 3 - 1/1
Price 4 - 2/5
Price 5 - 3/3
Price 6 - 0/0
Price 7 - 0/2
Price 8 - 0/6
Price 9 - 0/1

Season 37
Price 2 - 0/5
Price 3 - 4/6
Price 4 - 3/1
Price 5 - 1/0
Price 6 - 0/1
Price 7 - 1/1
Price 8 - 1/3
Price 9 - 0/3

Season 38
Price 2 - 0/7
Price 3 - 2/3
Price 4 - 2/3
Price 5 - 0/0
Price 6 - 0/0
Price 7 - 0/2
Price 8 - 1/4
Price 9 - 0/9

All three seasons
Price 2 - 0/12
Price 3 - 7/10
Price 4 - 7/9
Price 5 - 4/3
Price 6 - 0/1
Price 7 - 1/5
Price 8 - 2/13
Price 9 - 0/13

Overall
Win/Loss: 21/66
Correct Prices:
Price 2 - 14%
Price 3 - 20%
Price 4 - 18%
Price 5 - 8%
Price 6 - 1%
Price 7 - 7%
Price 8 - 17%
Price 9 - 15%

[Mr. Armadillo]

With those numbers, the average is 5.27, which is obviously not all that useful.

Random observation:  In the Drew era, the game has never been won when the correct price is sixth.  Makes you wonder why they don't put it there more often.

[jmangin]

[quote name=\'Mr. Armadillo\' post=\'247510\' date=\'Sep 14 2010, 10:04 AM\']In the Drew era, the game has never been won when the correct price is sixth.[/quote]
True, but the correct price placement at #6 has only happened once in three years. More interesting that the game has not been won when the price is placed either at #2 or #9, which has happened a collective total of 25 times (29%).

[Steve Gavazzi]

[quote name=\'jmangin\' post=\'247514\' date=\'Sep 14 2010, 11:10 AM\']True, but the correct price placement at #6 has only happened once in three years. More interesting that the game has not been won when the price is placed either at #2 or #9, which has happened a collective total of 25 times (29%).[/quote]
I'd swear I remember one contestant winning at the second price, mainly because I couldn't believe someone actually stopped that early.

(Apparently not, though.  So what am I thinking of?)

[jmangin]

[quote name=\'Steve Gavazzi\' post=\'247518\' date=\'Sep 14 2010, 12:17 PM\']I'd swear I remember one contestant winning at the second price, mainly because I couldn't believe someone actually stopped that early.

(Apparently not, though.  So what am I thinking of?)[/quote]
The source I used could be wrong, who knows.

[Mr. Brown]

[quote name=\'Steve Gavazzi\' post=\'247518\' date=\'Sep 14 2010, 11:17 AM\']I'd swear I remember one contestant winning at the second price, mainly because I couldn't believe someone actually stopped that early.

(Apparently not, though.  So what am I thinking of?)[/quote]

You're not crazy - I remember it too and was equally shocked.