Right then... Here we go...
[quote name='wdm1219inpenna']
[quote name='parliboy']
From the Queen, changing will improve or hold odds on 6 ranks, and worsen odds on 7 ranks. It's not too much worse than calling higher on a nine.
[/quote]
I comprehend your point, but I disagree on a couple of things. For one, Bill Daily was an idiot. He even admitted as much during this incident by saying "I don't know what I'm doing."[/quote]
The biggest problem I have with many comedic actors is this: they become one-dimensional, and their character becomes their public personalities. That is all Daily is guilty of here -- not knowing when to turn it off. The guy isn't an idiot. He got a lot of work in an era when idiots didn't get that much work. But his public role for so long had been "guy who acts like idiot" that it was easier to keep doing that than to be himself.
Assuming that it was a brand new deck of cards, and the first card exposed was a queen, by virtue of the fact that 4 ranks would improve the queen, and 2 ranks would keep it the same, that would mean 23 out of 51 remaining card would either improve or keep the "rank" the same. This means 28 cards would make things worse, in other words, less than a 50/50 chance of improving the card rank.
While I understand your point about calling higher on a nine, and proportionately it would work out similarly, this would only hold true if the 9 was the first card from the deck. Otherwise, the odds could be different depending on how many other cards were already played and exposed.
So, you just spent two paragraphs explaining that the Queen or the Nine could face better odds or worse odds depending on what cards had already come out, thereby doing nothing to improve or worsen your position in this thread. And you have effectively agreed with me, rendering your response to me moot. To give a shortened retort: "No shit, Sherlock."
Given the logic of 6 ranks being the same or better and 7 making it worse, would you, as a Card Sharks contestant, change a Queen as your base card?
I dunno. I'm not a card counter. I remember enough to track the Aces, the Dragon, and the Phoenix when I'm playing Tichu. But I've never seen you come on here and call someone that called Higher on a Nine an idiot. And nothing you have presented makes this any different. If anything, you've admitted that this is similar situation. As a side thought: consider that NOT changing a Jack or a Five actually runs against the odds, but the majority of contestants keep those cards. Are they idiots too?
Your problem is that you don't like the public personality of an actor. This is fine; we all have people who rub us the wrong way. But then you use silly reasons to explain why you don't like that personality. This is not so fine, and really should be reined in a bit.
